Market Analysis: April 2nd, 2025

Market Analysis: April 2nd, 2025

Global Market Update

Canadian Markets

The Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) rose cautiously, reflecting a mixed sentiment as investors stayed on edge ahead of U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement regarding new trade tariffs today. Despite these concerns, the commodities sector provided support, with prices of key commodities moving higher, helping to counterbalance broader market uncertainty and lifting Canadian stocks to some extent.


American Markets

In the U.S., stock indexes rose as gold prices continued after reaching an all-time high in the previous trading session. The gold market’s performance jumped 19% year-to-date in 2025, following a 27% gain in 2024. This marked gold’s best annual performance in over a decade, a reflection of the increased demand for safe-haven assets amid growing global uncertainty, including fears of a potential global trade war and its economic repercussions.

Tesla’s stock initially dropped following the release of its Q1 2025 delivery numbers, which missed Wall Street estimates. However, Tesla stock saw a sharp rebound later in the day, driven by a surge of rumors surrounding Elon Musk’s resignation from his role at Doge which investors interpreted as him potentially refocusing his efforts mainly on Tesla.


European Markets

European shares fell on the back of losses in healthcare stocks, which struggled due to higher regulatory scrutiny and pricing pressures. The healthcare sector has faced challenges from both government pricing controls and rising research and development costs.

The European Central Bank (ECB) weighed in on the potential economic fallout from a trade war, with the ECB’s Villeroy suggesting that the tariffs would not derail the ongoing decline in European inflation. On the other hand, the ECB’s Holzmann highlighted that the trade war’s escalation could require the ECB to implement unconventional monetary policies, such as negative interest rates or quantitative easing. These responses would be necessary to counteract the economic slowdowns caused by escalating trade disputes.

UK stocks also dropped due to inflation concerns stemming from the potential trade war. A major concern was that tariffs would drive up the cost of imports, particularly from the U.S. or other countries affected by the trade conflict. This could exacerbate inflation, forcing the Bank of England to adjust its monetary policy to combat rising prices. The potential for a trade war-induced inflation spike weighed heavily on investor sentiment in the UK, which could lead to declines.in the UK’s GDP.  Nvidia warned that the UK might lose out to France on data centers due to potential disruptions in global trade.

Corporate Stock News

Alphawave IP Group

U.S. chipmaker Qualcomm is considering acquiring Alphawave IP Group, which caused a 52% surge in the British semiconductor company’s shares.

Beacon Roofing Supply Inc.

RBC raised the target price for Beacon Roofing Supply to $124.35 from $124 after the company filed additional disclosures regarding its pending transaction with QXO.

BHP Group Ltd.

BHP considered spinning off its Australian iron ore and coal divisions, part of a strategy to focus on future-facing commodities like potash and copper. This was being evaluated as part of the company’s efforts to green its business and prepare for a bid for Anglo American.

Boeing Co.

Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg is facing tough questions from the Senate Commerce Committee over recent safety issues and other concerns. Ortberg will address these concerns, emphasizing the company’s efforts to implement sweeping changes to improve safety.

Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.

Brookfield Asset Management resumed takeover talks with Grifols, the Spanish pharmaceuticals company, potentially valuing the company at €7 billion. However, Grifols’ board denied knowledge of any resumed discussions.

CF Industries Holdings Inc.

Berenberg raised the target price for CF Industries Holdings to $80 from $74, citing expected upbeat first-quarter 2025 results driven by higher sales volume.

CoreWeave Inc.

The artificial intelligence startup CoreWeave Inc. saw its shares jump 42% to $52.57, their third day of trading, after an initial public offering (IPO) price of $40. The company now has a $23 billion valuation.

Dollarama Inc.

Desjardins raised the target price for Dollarama to C$160 from C$150, expecting upbeat fourth-quarter results and a positive FY2026 outlook.

EnerSys

EnerSys announced the closure of its flooded lead-acid battery manufacturing facility in Mexico, shifting production to its U.S. plant in Richmond, Kentucky, resulting in a $20 million pre-tax charge.

General Motors Co. & Lithium Americas Corp.

General Motors and Lithium Americas reached a final investment decision (FID) for the Thacker Pass lithium mine in Nevada, marking the first phase of the project, expected to be completed by late 2027.

Globe Life Inc.

JPMorgan raised the target price for Globe Life to $145 from $136, citing the company’s strong financial profile and a positive outlook for business trends.

Magna International Inc.

Magna International CEO Swamy Kotagiri discussed the challenges of absorbing tariff costs in the auto supply industry, particularly with Trump’s tariffs expected to add thousands of dollars in vehicle costs. Magna is trying to remain flexible, especially at its EV structures facility in Michigan.

Meta Platforms Inc.

A U.S. Senate subcommittee opened a review into Meta’s efforts to enter the Chinese market, seeking documents related to its dealings with the Chinese government, particularly a plan called Project Aldrin from 2014.

Newsmax Inc.

Shares of Newsmax soared 180% after a stellar debut on the New York Stock Exchange, attracting retail investors and gaining popularity as a meme stock.

Novo Nordisk A/S

Novo Holdings, the controlling shareholder of Novo Nordisk, reported a record 8 billion euros in annual income and investment returns, driven by dividends from its blockbuster weight-loss drug Wegovy and diabetes treatment Ozempic.

Orla Mining Ltd.

CIBC raised the target price for Orla Mining to C$16.25 from C$13.75 after the company announced a $25 million exploration drilling program at its Musselwhite mine.

Qualcomm Inc.

Qualcomm is reportedly considering an offer to acquire Alphawave IP Group, which caused shares of the British semiconductor company to surge 52%.

Rocket Companies Inc.

KBW raised the target price for Rocket Companies to $14 from $12, following the announcement of the acquisition of Mr. Cooper Group.

Surf Air Mobility Inc.

Canaccord Genuity lowered the target price for Surf Air Mobility to $3.25 from $3.75, citing the company’s declining cash balance and the expectation it may need to raise additional capital.

Tesla Inc.

Tesla faces mixed forecasts for Q1 vehicle deliveries, with analysts predicting a drop of up to 12% amid weak demand and competition from Chinese rivals. However, Model Y and incentives could potentially help counteract these challenges.

Walmart Inc.

Walmart is pushing Chinese suppliers to cut prices to offset President Trump’s tariffs. Some suppliers are finding it difficult to meet Walmart’s demands, as the retailer tries to diversify its supply chain to reduce reliance on China.

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