Market Analysis for Thursday March 20th, 2025

MSFT Stock Forecast

Global Market Update

Canadian Markets

On Thursday, Canada’s TSX dropped, despite commodities rising. A key factor contributing to the weakness was the grim outlook for small businesses, which has hit a 25-year low. This pessimism is partly driven by concerns over Canada’s economic conditions, particularly rising tariffs and trade tensions. According to a recent survey by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP Canada, some Canadian companies are even contemplating relocating their operations to the United States to shield themselves from potential trade barriers and tariffs under the Trump administration. This decision is viewed as a long-term strategy to mitigate the risk posed by U.S. tariff policies and to ensure business survival in an increasingly uncertain environment.

American Markets

In the U.S., stocks traded lower as investors digested the Federal Reserve’s updated growth projections. The global trade war remains a major source of uncertainty, casting a shadow over economic forecasts and spurring caution in the markets. The Federal Reserve’s projections indicate slower growth in the near term, exacerbating fears that ongoing trade disputes could have a more pronounced impact on global and U.S. economic stability.

European Markets

European equities were also under pressure, primarily driven by a decline in bank stocks. The banking sector faced headwinds due to investor concerns about future profitability, particularly in the face of a challenging interest rate environment.

UK stocks also experienced a slight decline as investors reacted to the BoE’s decision to hold rates steady. This decision comes as inflation is projected to rise in the UK, adding pressure to the cost of living for Britons. The BoE’s cautious approach signals concern over the broader economic landscape, where rising inflation and global trade tensions present significant risks.

Corporate Stock News

Accenture PLC: Raised its revenue forecast, now expecting a 5% to 7% growth, driven by demand for AI-powered tools, cloud migration, and digital transformation projects.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc: Bloomberg reported that potential buyers for the company’s U.S. stores have until the end of March to express interest. Couche-Tard is also exploring a sale of these stores to secure regulatory approval. CIBC cut its target price to C$84.00 from C$87.00 due to a cautious consumer and uncertain macro environment.

Banco Santander: The Spanish banking giant is looking to expand its U.S. operations through a partnership with Verizon, tapping into Verizon’s vast customer base.

Beacon Roofing Supply Inc & QXO Inc: Beacon accepted an $11 billion buyout offer from QXO at $124.35 per share, ending a months-long takeover saga. The deal is expected to close by the end of April.

BlackRock Inc: The company is expanding its retail-focused products, including more ETFs, to attract European investors, aiming to tap into first-time investors by partnering with local banks.

BP plc: Activist investor Follow This plans to call for a vote against the reappointment of BP Chair Helge Lund due to concerns over energy transition targets and lack of shareholder input.

Chevron Corp: The Trump administration is considering extending Chevron’s license to pump oil in Venezuela, despite previous restrictions, and might impose tariffs on countries buying Venezuelan oil.

CIBC: Cut Lundin Gold’s rating to neutral from outperformer after reviewing the company’s fourth-quarter financial results.

Dollarama Inc: National Bank of Canada raised its target price for DOL:CA to C$156 from C$149, citing continued demand for value retailers.

Eli Lilly and Co: Launched its diabetes and weight-loss drug Mounjaro in India, addressing rising rates of obesity and diabetes, and capitalizing on the market potential. General Mills Inc: JPMorgan cut its target price to $54 from $60, following the company’s lowered sales and profit forecasts.Glencore: Made an offer to acquire Canadian lithium battery recycling company Li-Cycle to address operational and financial issues.

International Paper Co: JPMorgan initiated coverage with an overweight rating and a target price of $59, citing potential for higher profitability through its 80/20 strategy.

Lundin Gold Inc: CIBC downgraded its rating to neutral from outperformer after reviewing the company’s fourth-quarter financial performance.

Microchip Technology Inc: Shares fell over 3% after the company announced a $1.35 billion convertible stock offering to pay for capped call transactions and repay debt, as it also laid off 2,000 workers.

Microsoft Corp: Scotiabank initiated coverage with a sector outperform rating and a target price of $470, highlighting the company’s leadership in AI.

Northvolt: The Swedish battery cell maker, currently in financial distress, is seeking changes to EU funding rules that could help it find a new owner.

PDD Holdings Inc: Missed revenue estimates for the quarter, with weak demand in its Chinese e-commerce business despite government stimulus and discounts. Revenue was lower than analysts’ expectations.

Spire Inc: JPMorgan upgraded its rating to overweight from neutral, citing improvements in regulation and industry benefits from recent legislation.

Tesla Inc: TSLA is recalling 46,096 Cybertruck vehicles in the U.S. to fix an exterior panel that could detach while driving, posing a safety risk.

VEON Ltd: Reported a 14.6% increase in annual revenue, despite challenges from a Russian cyberattack and political unrest in Bangladesh. The company also plans a $1 billion investment in Ukraine through 2027.

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