Market News & Analysis: December 23rd, 2024

Market News & Analysis: December 23rd, 2024

Global Market Update

American Markets:

Mixed Trading Amid Profit-Taking and Weak Consumer Sentiment

  • Market Movement: U.S. stock markets traded mixed as investors locked in gains from recent rallies, opting for caution ahead of 2025. The uncertainty over market direction contributed to uneven performance across major indices.
  • Economic Data: The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index dropped by 8.1 points for December to 104.7.  It was substantially below the 113.2 forecasted.  This could weigh on spending trends moving into the new year.

Asia:

Optimism Prevails Amid Trade Talks and Corporate Developments

  • China: Asian stocks rallied, bolstered by China’s indication of willingness to collaborate with the U.S. on trade matters in the upcoming year. This news eased concerns over prolonged trade tensions.
  • Japan: The Nikkei rose, driven by:
    • Positive sentiment around a potential Honda-Nissan merger, which could reshape the global automotive landscape.
    • A weakening yen, as investors anticipated the Bank of Japan would maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy. A weaker yen often boosts Japanese exporters, enhancing competitiveness.

Europe:

Mixed Sentiment as Bond Yields Rise

  • Continental Europe: European stocks declined, pressured by rising bond yields.  Higher yields reflect concerns over inflationary pressures.
  • United Kingdom: UK equities edged higher, buoyed by selective buying, even as revised growth figures indicated the economy is likely heading toward a recession. Persistent inflation and sluggish demand have weighed heavily on the UK economy.

Canada:

Commodities Slump and Slowing Economy

  • Stock Market Performance: Canadian markets traded lower, weighed down by a drop in commodity prices, particularly in energy and metals.
  • Economic Indicators:
    • GDP Contraction: Statistics Canada reported a 0.1% contraction in November’s GDP, the first monthly decline this year, signaling potential economic fragility.
    • October’s growth figure of 0.3% surpassed expectations, but the slowdown highlights mounting headwinds, including weaker domestic demand and global trade uncertainties.
    • Despite rapid interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada, economic activity appears to be faltering.

Corporate Stock News

  • AMD, Meta Platforms: Highlighted as top picks by Rosenblatt Securities.
  • Apple Inc.: Approaching a $4 trillion valuation as investors bet on AI momentum.
  • Aviva: UK insurer to acquire Direct Line in a $4.65 billion deal.
  • BlackRock Inc. (BLK): Target raised by Citigroup, maintaining a Buy rating.
  • Bombardier Inc. (BBD-B:CA): Target price lowered by CIBC World Markets to CAD 116.92, with an Outperform rating.
  • Canada’s Economy: Contracted in November for the first time this year.
  • Coca-Cola & PepsiCo: Lobbying to keep sugary sodas included in the food-stamp program.
  • MicroStrategy: Continued its Bitcoin purchasing streak for the seventh consecutive week.
  • Microsoft Corp. (MSFT): Loop Capital raised its target price to USD 550, maintaining a Buy rating.
  • National Bank of Canada (NA:CA): Maintained at Neutral by CIBC World Markets with a target price of CAD 141.
  • New Fortress Energy: Stock surged on reports of a Puerto Rico plant deal.
  • Prepare for January Market Whiplash: Ed Yardeni warns of potential volatility.
  • Raymond James: Upgraded Timber REITs due to improving lumber market fundamentals.
  • Snowflake Inc. (SNOW): Loop Capital raised its target price to USD 205, maintaining a Buy rating.
  • Toyota: Announced plans to build an EV production plant in China.
  • US New Home Sales: Rebounded in November, recovering from hurricane-related setbacks.

Christmas Sale

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