Stock Market Analysis & News: Oct 2nd, 2024

Macro Market View

Canadian Markets

Canada’s TSX stock index dropped as mixed trading in commodities put pressure on the market. This drop mirrors trends seen in American markets, where geopolitical tensions and a domestic port strike heightened investor caution, particularly ahead of the critical ADP National Employment survey. Investors are looking to this report for insights into the labor market’s health, which could have significant implications for future economic policy and market performance.

American Markets

US indexes dropped amid rising geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, which have created a risk off approach among investors. The ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel has raised alarms about potential disruptions to crude oil production in the region, leading to increased volatility in oil prices.

In the U.S., a domestic port strike added another layer of complexity. Disruptions at key ports can lead to delays in supply chains, affecting various sectors and raising inflation concerns.

European Markets

European markets were mixed, however gains were made in energy and defense stocks. The rising energy prices due to geopolitical instability have benefitted energy companies, while defense stocks have gained traction amid concerns over security in volatile regions. UK’s main index rose as the pound traded lower, and the Bank of England warned that the UK is at risk of a credit crunch.

Japanese Markets

Japan’s Nikkei closed lower, reflecting broader regional concerns, while the  yen rose causing more downward pressures.

Corporate Stock News.

Barclays: The investment bank reported gaining market share in deal advisory and equity capital markets as part of a strategy to improve returns.

Boeing Co: The largest union at Boeing urged new CEO Kelly Ortberg to engage in contract negotiations to end a strike involving 33,000 workers, following the termination of their healthcare benefits.

Diamondback Energy Inc: The shale producer increased its third-quarter production forecast to reflect its $26 billion acquisition of Endeavor Energy, now expecting production between 565,000 and 569,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.

EQT Corp: The natural gas producer announced layoffs of about 15% of its workforce following its $14 billion acquisition of Equitrans Midstream, which could result in pre-tax charges of up to $185 million.

FrontView REIT Inc: The company raised $250.8 million in its U.S. IPO, pricing its 13.2 million shares at $19 each. It will begin trading on the NYSE under the symbol “FVR.”

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc: The frozen foods supplier cut its annual profit forecast due to lower prices in international markets amid softer demand. The new EPS estimate ranges from $2.70 to $3.15, down from a prior $4.35 to $4.85.

LPL Financial Holdings Inc: The wealth management firm fired CEO Dan Arnold for violating the company’s code of conduct and appointed Rich Steinmeier as interim CEO.

Meta Platforms Inc: The company removed approximately 8,000 “celeb bait” scam ads from Facebook and Instagram in collaboration with Australian banks to combat fraud.

Nike Inc: The sportswear giant withdrew its annual revenue forecast as new CEO prepares to take over, predicting a 10% decline in overall net revenue for the first quarter and an 8-10% drop in sales for the September-November quarter.

Novo Nordisk: The Danish drugmaker announced it has plans to mitigate any production disruptions due to U.S. port strikes.

Oracle Corp: The company plans to invest over $6.5 billion to establish its first public cloud region in Malaysia, allowing local customers to use cloud services based in the country.

Thomson Reuters Corp: Reuters News will roll out digital subscriptions starting this month, initially in Canada, then expanding to Europe and the U.S. This plan aims to broaden its coverage while allowing further investment in reporting.

MGM Resorts International & Wynn Resorts Ltd: A U.S. judge dismissed a consumer class action lawsuit against major casino operators, including MGM and Caesars, related to alleged overcharging for room rentals.

KKR & Co Inc: The private equity firm is considering a takeover bid for chip equipment maker ASMPT, valued at $5.07 billion.

Analyst Coverage Updates

Diamondback Energy Inc (FANG) has a market cap of $49.95 billion, with an analyst rating from Barclays of Equal Weight to Overweight, a target price of $210, and a current price of $220.35, reflecting a 24.13% increase.

EMCORE Corporation (EMKR), with a market cap of $0.01 billion, has a rating from Craig Hallum of Hold to Buy, a target price of $3, and a current price of $2.00, showing an 18.37% decline.

Hanmi Financial Corp (HAFC) has a market cap of $0.56 billion and a rating from Keefe, Bruyette & Woods of Market Perform to Outperform, with a target price of $22 and a current price of $20.17, which is an increase of 11.85%.

Home Depot Inc (HD) has a market cap of $397.97 billion and is rated Buy by Gordon Haskett, with a target price of $450 and a current price of $391.42, down by 4.31%.

M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) has a market cap of $29.30 billion, rated Outperform by Evercore ISI, with a target price of $210 and a current price of $178.20, up by 3.17%.

Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) has a market cap of $1.01 billion, rated Neutral to Overweight by J.P. Morgan, with a target price of $30 and a current price of $34.46, reflecting a significant increase of 96.59%.

Salesforce.com Inc (CRM), with no specified market cap, is rated Outperform by Northland Capital, has a target price of $400, and a current price of $303.68, up by 12.11%.

Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) has a market cap of $1.45 billion, with a rating of Outperform from Wolfe Research, a target price of $60, and a current price of $48.62, which is a 10.89% increase.

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