Based on the Advance Auto Parts Inc stock forecast from 13 analysts, the average analyst target price for Advance Auto Parts Inc is USD 50.17 over the next 12 months. Advance Auto Parts Inc’s average analyst rating is Hold . Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Advance Auto Parts Inc is Bearish, which is based on 3 positive signals and 12 negative signals. At the last closing, Advance Auto Parts Inc’s stock price was USD 43.52. Advance Auto Parts Inc’s stock price has changed by -0.78% over the past week, +12.48% over the past month and -28.29% over the last year.
Analyst Ratings
Target Price Action
Rating Action
Analyst
Rating
Price
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Stock Target Advisor's Analysis
This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
What to like
Underpriced compared to book value
The stock is trading low compared to its peers on a price to book value basis and is in the top quartile. It may be underpriced but do check its financial performance to make sure there is no specific reason.
Positive cash flow
The company had positive total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.
Positive free cash flow
The company had positive total free cash flow in the most recent four quarters.
What not to like
Poor capital utilization
The company management has delivered below median return on invested capital in the most recent 4 quarters compared to its peers.
Poor return on assets
The company management has delivered below median return on assets in the most recent 4 quarters compared to its peers.
Overpriced compared to earnings
The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is above the sector median.
Below median dividend returns
The company’s average income yield over the past 5 years has been low compared to its peers. However, it is not a problem if you are not looking for income.
Below median total returns
The company has under performed its peers on annual average total returns in the past 5 years.
Poor risk adjusted returns
This company is delivering below median risk adjusted returns in its peers. Even if it is outperforming on returns , the returns are unpredictable. Proceed with caution.
Low market capitalization
This is among the smaller entities in its sectors with below median market capitalization. That may make it less stable in the long run unless it has a unique technology or market which can help it grow or get acquired in future.
Overpriced on cashflow basis
The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.
Low Dividend Growth
This stock has shown below median dividend growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.
Low Revenue Growth
This stock has shown below median revenue growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector
Low Earnings Growth
This stock has shown below median earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector
Highly leveraged
The company is in the bottom half compared to its sector peers on debt to equity and is highly leveraged. However, do check the news and look at its sector and management statements. Sometimes this is high because the company is trying to grow aggressively.
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