Based on the Progressive Corp stock forecast from 16 analysts, the average analyst target price for Progressive Corp is USD 265.51 over the next 12 months. Progressive Corp’s average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of Progressive Corp is Slightly Bullish , which is based on 11 positive signals and 7 negative signals. At the last closing, Progressive Corp’s stock price was USD 263.44. Progressive Corp’s stock price has changed by +2.31% over the past week, +5.07% over the past month and +62.81% over the last year.
Analyst Ratings
Target Price Action
Rating Action
Analyst
Rating
Price
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Stock Target Advisor's Analysis
This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
What to like
Superior risk adjusted returns
This stock has performed well, on a risk adjusted basis, compared to its sector peers(for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile.
Positive cash flow
The company had positive total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.
Positive free cash flow
The company had positive total free cash flow in the most recent four quarters.
Superior return on assets
The company management has delivered better return on assets in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.
Underpriced on free cash flow basis
The stock is trading low compared to its peers on a price to free cash flow basis and is in the top quartile. It may be underpriced but do check its financial performance to make sure there is no specific reason.
High market capitalization
This is one of the largest entities in its sector and is among the top quartile. Such companies tend to be more stable.
Superior Revenue Growth
This stock has shown top quartile revenue growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.
High Gross Profit to Asset Ratio
This stock is in the top quartile compared to its peers on Gross Profit to Asset Ratio. This is a popular measure among value investors for showing superior returns in the long run.
Superior Dividend Growth
This stock has shown top quartile dividend growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector
High dividend returns
The stock has outperformed its sector peers on average annual dividend returns basis in the past 5 years (for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile. This can be a good buy, especially if it is outperforming on total return basis , for investors seeking high income yields.
Superior return on equity
The company management has delivered better return on equity in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.
What not to like
Overpriced compared to book value
The stock is trading high compared to its peers median on a price to book value basis.
Overpriced compared to earnings
The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is above the sector median.
Below median total returns
The company has under performed its peers on annual average total returns in the past 5 years.
High volatility
The total returns for this company are volatile and above median for its sector over the past 5 years. Make sure you have the risk tolerance for investing in such stock.
Overpriced on cashflow basis
The stock is trading high compared to its peers on a price to cash flow basis. It is priced above the median for its sectors. Proceed with caution if you are considering to buy.
Low Earnings Growth
This stock has shown below median earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector
Highly leveraged
The company is in the bottom half compared to its sector peers on debt to equity and is highly leveraged. However, do check the news and look at its sector and management statements. Sometimes this is high because the company is trying to grow aggressively.
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