Based on the ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc stock forecast from 1 analysts, the average analyst target price for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is USD 20.00 over the next 12 months. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc’s average analyst rating is Hold . Stock Target Advisor’s own stock analysis of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is Slightly Bullish , which is based on 11 positive signals and 5 negative signals. At the last closing, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc’s stock price was USD 19.83. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc’s stock price has changed by +0.10% over the past week, +7.60% over the past month and -2.36% over the last year.
Analyst Ratings
Target Price Action
Rating Action
Analyst
Rating
Price
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Stock Target Advisor's Analysis
This is a composite scorecard based on the application of evaluation criteria deemed most important by analysts. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
What to like
Low debt
The company is less leveraged than its peers ,, and is among the top quartile, which makes it more flexible. However, do check the news and look at its sector. Sometimes this is low because the company is not growing and has no growth potential.
Underpriced on cashflow basis
The stock is trading low compared to its peers on a price to cash flow basis and is in the top quartile. It may be underpriced but do check its financial performance to make sure there is no specific reason.
Low volatility
The stock’s annual returns have been stable and consistent compared to its sector peers(for a hold period of at least 12 months) and is in the top quartile. Although stability is good, also keep in mind it can limit returns.
Positive cash flow
The company had positive total cash flow in the most recent four quarters.
Positive free cash flow
The company had positive total free cash flow in the most recent four quarters.
Superior return on assets
The company management has delivered better return on assets in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.
Superior capital utilization
The company management has delivered better return on invested capital in the most recent 4 quarters than its peers, placing it in the top quartile.
High market capitalization
This is one of the largest entities in its sector and is among the top quartile. Such companies tend to be more stable.
Superior Revenue Growth
This stock has shown top quartile revenue growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.
Superior Earnings Growth
This stock has shown top quartile earnings growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.
Underpriced compared to earnings
The stock is trading low compared to its peers on a price to earning basis and is in the top quartile. It may be underpriced but do check its financial performance to make sure there is no specific reason.
What not to like
Overpriced compared to book value
The stock is trading high compared to its peers median on a price to book value basis.
Below median dividend returns
The company’s average income yield over the past 5 years has been low compared to its peers. However, it is not a problem if you are not looking for income.
Below median total returns
The company has under performed its peers on annual average total returns in the past 5 years.
Poor risk adjusted returns
This company is delivering below median risk adjusted returns in its peers. Even if it is outperforming on returns , the returns are unpredictable. Proceed with caution.
Low Dividend Growth
This stock has shown below median dividend growth in the previous 5 years compared to its sector.
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